The Most important Common factors Which affect the food Cereal gap In the Arabic World.

• M. NAKIP

  Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Omar Al Mukhtar University, Al Bayda, Libya

  Author

• A. MUGASSABI

  Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Omar Al Mukhtar University, Al Bayda, Libya

  Author

The Most important factors that de- termines the Economic integration of the Arabic world, is to Combine the efforts made in the area of Narrowing the food Cereal gap. Identifying the Common factors which affect The gaps constitute a major step for this integration. For this reason some factors, which beleived to have an effect on the food cereal gap, have been determined and Orgainzed into five groups as follows: 1- Natural Variables (4 Variables) 2- Poputilion Variables (4 Variables) 3- Variables which are related to cereals (4 Variables) 4- Variables which are related to inputs (6 Variables) 5- Economic Variables (5 Variables). To deternnine the major factors, the food cereal gap ratio was regressed on every inedependant Variable, and a sim- ple regression model was obtained for each Variable. Then the Varieable which has the highest Corelation coefficient in each group was selected as a major factor. The dependent Variable (food Cereal gap ratio was then regressed on these se- lected Variables to obtian the multtiple- regression equation. Since the regression equaton Con- tains an error term, the Arabic countries, in which the gap ratio was close to that obtained from the equation, were accept- ed to fit for the model. The Same study was carried out on the wheat alone because of it's impor- tance among the cereals for Consump- tion in the Arabic world. And then the two equations were Compared. Based on the results of obtained from the Comparison between the two equa- tions, some recommendations were pro- vided as guidelines for narrowing the food gap.

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